Since our inception, members have received a regular economic outlook/forecast from one of our trusted advisors, behavioural economist, Roger Martin-Fagg.
Roger’s record is extraordinary. He’s called the results of the last three general elections and both the Trump and Biden victories months ahead of polling day. In 20 years he’s identified each recession/depression and recovery, nearly always going against the tide of opinion.
In March 2020 he stated that we would have a boom once covid became managed – (when I posted his opinion on social media I received a barrage of comments ridiculing both of us) – and once again his forecast has come true.
Roger always emphasises that he’s precisely wrong… but for two decades he’s been broadly right.
Here are the headlines from Roger’s latest update (May 2021):
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